Alex Goodman

GTA May 2026 Market Watch — What the numbers actually say

TRREB's April 2026 numbers came in soft (-5.0% YoY) but the GTA-wide average obscures more than it reveals. Three things the headline number doesn't tell you, and what they mean for buyers + sellers.

MarketAlex Goodman · Sales Representative6 min read

The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) published its April 2026 Market Watch this month, and the headline number is the one most clients are calling about: average sold price across the GTA is now $1,051,969 — down 5.0% from April 2025. Average days on market sit at 43, the highest since 2019.

That number obscures more than it reveals. Behind the GTA-wide average, submarkets are diverging. Here's what the comp data actually shows:

City breakdown (April 2026, TRREB-verified)

  • City of Toronto — $1,091,761 average (-4.6% YoY). Downtown condos and the $1M-$2M detached band are taking the brunt; Forest Hill, Rosedale, and Lawrence Park premium detached holding better.
  • York Region — premium markets like Bayview Hill and King City are still trading within 3% of last year. Newer master-planned communities (East Gwillimbury, Whitchurch-Stouffville) are softer.
  • Vaughan — down 6.0% YoY, the steepest correction in the GTA at the city level. Mostly driven by new-build inventory in Woodbridge and Maple sub-markets.
  • Markham — down 4.8% YoY. Unionville and Berczy Village holding firmer than Cornell.
  • Durham — Oshawa and Brock continue to be the most affordable detached options at under $900k. Pickering and Ajax bands ($1M-$1.3M) are seeing the most activity.

Three things the average price doesn't tell you

1. Sold-to-list ratios are diverging. Across the GTA, ratios are averaging 98-102%. But homes priced correctly from day one are still seeing bidding wars (105-115% over ask in Leaside, Davisville, Mimico). Homes that started too high and reset are trading 93-95% of revised list — the "eventually" price.

2. Days on market is bimodal. Properties priced right sell in 7-14 days. Properties priced wrong drag past 60-90 and need a meaningful reset. Almost nothing sells in the 20-30 day range — that's the dead zone where buyers assume something's wrong with the home.

3. Inventory is up, but selectively. Total active listings are up 8% YoY in the GTA. But premium pockets — Old Oakville, Lorne Park, Bayview Hill — still have under 60 days of supply (a seller's market). The buyer's market is concentrated in newer suburban inventory and downtown 1-bed condos.

Strategy implications

If you're buying: this is the most negotiable GTA market since 2019. Inspection conditions are accepted on most offers in suburban York / Peel. Closing-cost contributions from sellers (1-2% of price) are not uncommon. Pre-approval rates locked 60-120 days protect you while you shop.

If you're selling: pricing strategy matters more than ever. Listing 5% over the actual sold-comp number costs you 8-12% on the final sale versus pricing at-market and creating competition. The 14-day attention window still drives 70%+ of total showings — pricing right, photos out day one, marketing live across MLS + broker network from hour zero.

For specific pricing for your address or neighbourhood, send the address to alex@homsy.ca and I'll come back within one business day with a real comp set.

About the author

Alex Goodman

Sales Representative · RE/MAX Your Community Realty, Brokerage · Richmond Hill, ON

I work with buyers and sellers across the GTA — residential and commercial. Real estate, calculated: comps over feelings, defended in writing, one point of contact end-to-end.